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13.11.2019 23:31

U.S. October CPI won't change the calculus for the Fed in the near-term - TDS

Analysts at TD Securities expect the Fed to keep rates on hold in the near term, but to ease further in 2020 as economic growth continues to moderate.

  • "Core PCE inflation remains below target and inflation expectations continue to hover below the historical levels associated with price stability.
  • Headline inflation surprised to the upside at 0.4% m/m (0.356% unrounded) in October, lifting the annual rate to 1.8% y/y (TD and consensus: 1.7%). Stronger than expected food and energy prices at 0.2% and 2.7% m/m, respectively, boosted headline prices.
  • We expect the Fed to keep rates on hold in the near term, but to ease further in 2020 as economic growth continues to moderate."


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