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Barclays: FOMC minutes to reveal if hike cycle if complete or still part of baseline outlook
"We look to the minutes of the January FOMC meeting for insights as to whether FOMC participants see the rate hike cycle as essentially complete or whether members still expect further rate hikes as part of the baseline outlook. In other words, many FOMC participants have communicated a desire to remain “patient” or “pause” the rate hike cycle to evaluate the incoming data, while the language in the statement suggests that the tightening cycle is complete and the committee has no upward bias in its forward guidance," Barclays notes.
"The minutes should also provide information about what caused the committee to assess that financial conditions had tightened and shift the balance of risks to the downside. In addition, we expect the minutes to signal that the committee is prepared to release its plan on how it will end runoff of its balance sheet “soon,” which we believe will come at the March meeting," Barclays adds.
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Market focus
- German factory orders unexpectedly fell in October
- BOJ's Harada says no need to take additional policy steps
- Eurozone construction activity continues to grow in November
- Eurozone GDP up by 0.2% during the third quarter, as expected
Forex is open 24 hours a day, 5 days a week (except national holidays), and it can be broken up to the following four regional markets: Australia and Oceania, Asia, Europe, and America. A Forex trading session opens at 23:00 GMT on Sunday in Japan and closes at 22:00 GMT on Friday in the USA.
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
EET OpenClose |
Local Time OpenClose |
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Pacific | Wellington | 19:00 | 04:00 | 22:00 | 07:00 | 22:00 | 07:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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Local Time OpenClose |
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Pacific | Sydney | 21:00 | 06:00 | 00:00 | 09:00 | 00:00 | 09:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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Local Time OpenClose |
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Asian | Tokyo | 23:00 | 08:00 | 02:00 | 11:00 | 02:00 | 11:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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Local Time OpenClose |
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Asian | Hong Kong, Singapore | 00:00 | 09:00 | 03:00 | 12:00 | 03:00 | 12:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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Local Time OpenClose |
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European | 06:00 | 15:00 | 09:00 | 18:00 | 9:00 | 18:00 | |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
EET OpenClose |
Local Time OpenCloseе |
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European | London | 07:00 | 16:00 | 10:00 | 19:00 | 10:00 | 19:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
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Local Time OpenClose |
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American | New York | 12:00 | 21:00 | 15:00 | 00:00 | 15:00 | 00:00 |
Session | Financial Centres | UTC/GMT OpenClose |
EET OpenClose |
Local Time OpenClose |
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American | Chicago | 13:00 | 22:00 | 16:00 | 01:00 | 16:00 | 01:00 |